Market
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
TECH
HOLD
Market 4% · Fair 1% · Edge -2.8 pts
0 tracked holders · YES exposure 0 · NO exposure 0
no tracked holders, positioning is mixed, 0 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 1% vs market 4%. NO offers 2.9% expected profit per dollar risked with 4.0% max profit if correct, or 14.2% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. No current top-trader position
Signal history
HOLD
10/17/2026, 10:13:10 AM
Edge -2.8 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 9:03:10 AM
Edge -2.9 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 9:01:09 AM
Edge -2.9 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 8:59:09 AM
Edge -2.9 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 8:57:10 AM
Edge 29.4 pts · Confidence 96
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:02:10 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 4:00:10 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:58:09 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:56:09 AM
Edge 29.5 pts · Confidence 96
HOLD
10/17/2026, 12:44:02 AM
Edge -2.6 pts · Confidence 35
Current positions
thoodr · NO · score 45
1933 contracts · value 1836 · avg 90.3% · 10/6/2026, 5:23:55 PM
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495 · YES · score 80
3201 contracts · value 122 · avg 12.2% · 10/17/2026, 10:11:15 AM
Recent trades
ArmageddonRewardsBilly · SELL NO · score 96
21 @ 93.0% · notional 19 · 9/2/2026, 7:38:03 AM
ArmageddonRewardsBilly · SELL NO · score 96
172 @ 93.0% · notional 160 · 9/1/2026, 6:10:09 AM
ArmageddonRewardsBilly · SELL NO · score 96
8 @ 93.0% · notional 7 · 9/1/2026, 6:08:54 AM
KiernanMeister · SELL NO · score 74
11 @ 94.0% · notional 10 · 8/13/2026, 4:24:00 PM
KiernanMeister · SELL NO · score 74
50 @ 94.0% · notional 47 · 8/13/2026, 3:52:28 PM
KiernanMeister · SELL NO · score 74
20 @ 94.0% · notional 19 · 8/13/2026, 3:51:49 PM
KiernanMeister · SELL NO · score 74
122 @ 94.0% · notional 115 · 8/13/2026, 3:50:12 PM
KiernanMeister · SELL NO · score 74
2962 @ 94.0% · notional 2784 · 8/13/2026, 3:47:55 PM
KiernanMeister · SELL NO · score 74
50 @ 94.0% · notional 47 · 8/13/2026, 12:58:55 PM
KiernanMeister · SELL NO · score 74
50 @ 94.0% · notional 47 · 8/13/2026, 12:25:40 PM
KiernanMeister · SELL NO · score 74
700 @ 94.0% · notional 658 · 8/13/2026, 11:34:40 AM