Market
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?
POLITICS
HOLD
Market 56% · Fair 53% · Edge -3.0 pts
0 tracked holders · YES exposure 0 · NO exposure 0
no tracked holders, positioning is mixed, 0 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 53% vs market 56%. NO offers 6.8% expected profit per dollar risked with 127.3% max profit if correct, or 95.7% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. No current top-trader position
Signal history
HOLD
8/5/2026, 12:04:58 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/5/2026, 12:02:58 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/5/2026, 12:01:58 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/5/2026, 12:00:58 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/16/2026, 4:42:22 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/16/2026, 4:41:22 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/16/2026, 4:40:23 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/16/2026, 4:39:23 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/16/2026, 4:38:22 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
7/16/2026, 4:37:22 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
Current positions
bipbipbop · YES · score 53
5975 contracts · value 3346 · avg 64.0% · 8/5/2026, 12:00:02 PM
Recent trades
tsybka · SELL YES · score 67
4 @ 79.0% · notional 3 · 7/12/2026, 7:29:14 PM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 67
1925 @ 80.0% · notional 1541 · 7/12/2026, 7:21:16 PM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 67
112 @ 79.0% · notional 89 · 7/12/2026, 2:40:01 PM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 67
98 @ 83.0% · notional 81 · 7/12/2026, 10:22:13 AM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 67
5 @ 83.0% · notional 4 · 7/12/2026, 9:00:14 AM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 67
2135 @ 58.3% · notional 1244 · 7/12/2026, 4:45:13 AM