Market
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
POLITICS
HOLD
Market 99% · Fair 96% · Edge -3.0 pts
0 tracked holders · YES exposure 0 · NO exposure 0
no tracked holders, positioning is mixed, 0 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 96% vs market 99%. NO offers 272.7% expected profit per dollar risked with 8990.9% max profit if correct, or 2386.5% annualized. Capital efficiency is not strong enough yet. No current top-trader position
Signal history
HOLD
8/19/2026, 6:56:07 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/19/2026, 6:55:06 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/19/2026, 6:54:06 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/19/2026, 6:53:06 PM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/19/2026, 6:52:06 PM
Edge 0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/19/2026, 6:51:06 PM
Edge 0.1 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
8/19/2026, 11:46:05 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/19/2026, 11:45:05 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/19/2026, 11:44:06 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
HOLD
8/19/2026, 11:43:05 AM
Edge -3.0 pts · Confidence 35
Current positions
No open tracked positions in this market.
Recent trades
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
15 @ 98.8% · notional 15 · 8/19/2026, 8:15:40 AM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 99
6985 @ 99.6% · notional 6955 · 8/19/2026, 6:34:55 AM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
13239 @ 95.0% · notional 12575 · 8/18/2026, 6:06:48 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
1289 @ 87.5% · notional 1128 · 8/18/2026, 6:05:10 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
5639 @ 75.9% · notional 4282 · 8/18/2026, 6:05:04 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
324 @ 25.0% · notional 81 · 8/18/2026, 6:05:04 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
7 @ 25.0% · notional 2 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:48 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
2 @ 25.0% · notional 1 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:46 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
2 @ 25.0% · notional 1 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:45 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
31 @ 25.0% · notional 8 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:43 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
67 @ 25.0% · notional 17 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:42 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
461 @ 25.0% · notional 115 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:40 PM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 99
7168 @ 88.5% · notional 6346 · 7/14/2026, 5:00:58 PM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 99
4433 @ 90.0% · notional 3991 · 7/13/2026, 9:18:02 PM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 99
2290 @ 89.0% · notional 2038 · 7/12/2026, 7:28:10 PM