Market

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

POLITICS

BUY_YES

Market 2% · Fair 33% · Edge 30.7 pts

2 tracked holders · YES exposure 1614 · NO exposure 0

2 tracked holders, positioning favors YES, 2 YES vs 0 NO positions, fair 33% vs market 2%, 11122 (65 score) YES value 7978. YES offers 1307.5% expected profit per dollar risked with 4155.3% max profit if correct, or 635.2% annualized. Lead holder: 11122 YES value 7978 with 339489 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:02:10 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 4:01:12 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:59:11 PM
Edge 36.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:57:13 PM
Edge 36.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:55:15 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
HOLD
10/17/2026, 3:53:11 PM
Edge -1.4 pts · Confidence 35
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:50:10 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:48:10 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:46:10 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
10/17/2026, 3:42:10 PM
Edge 30.7 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
bernardbulletin · YES · score 45
608714 contracts · value 15522 · avg 0.9% · 10/4/2026, 7:35:52 AM
11122 · YES · score 64
339489 contracts · value 7978 · avg 1.2% · 10/17/2026, 4:03:25 PM
Brokie · YES · score 66
314000 contracts · value 2983 · avg 0.4% · 5/30/2026, 2:52:03 AM
Logan. · YES · score 73
10585 contracts · value 217 · avg 0.8% · 10/1/2026, 2:44:21 AM
4875 contracts · value 85 · avg 1.3% · 9/19/2026, 7:20:41 AM
GollumGekko · YES · score 45
4042 contracts · value 38 · avg 0.7% · 6/14/2026, 10:18:24 PM
tf2 · YES · score 66
1 contracts · value 0 · avg 0.8% · 10/17/2026, 4:03:21 PM
Recent trades
omnibus-6c8b15 · SELL NO · score 45
6 @ 98.2% · notional 6 · 9/15/2026, 1:11:58 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · BUY NO · score 45
6 @ 98.3% · notional 6 · 9/15/2026, 1:11:40 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · SELL NO · score 45
6 @ 98.2% · notional 6 · 9/15/2026, 1:00:51 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · BUY NO · score 45
6 @ 98.3% · notional 6 · 9/15/2026, 12:59:48 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · SELL NO · score 45
5 @ 98.2% · notional 5 · 9/15/2026, 10:11:43 AM
omnibus-6c8b15 · BUY NO · score 45
5 @ 98.3% · notional 5 · 9/15/2026, 10:10:58 AM
omnibus-6c8b15 · SELL NO · score 45
7 @ 98.3% · notional 7 · 9/12/2026, 5:40:57 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · BUY NO · score 45
7 @ 98.4% · notional 7 · 9/12/2026, 5:40:39 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · SELL NO · score 45
10 @ 98.2% · notional 10 · 9/10/2026, 5:05:16 PM
omnibus-6c8b15 · BUY NO · score 45
10 @ 98.4% · notional 10 · 9/10/2026, 5:04:10 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 98
2 @ 1.0% · notional 0 · 8/28/2026, 10:44:51 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 98
0 @ 1.0% · notional 0 · 8/28/2026, 7:46:33 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 98
0 @ 1.0% · notional 0 · 8/28/2026, 5:50:55 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 98
1 @ 1.0% · notional 0 · 8/28/2026, 4:54:06 PM
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA · SELL YES · score 98
1 @ 1.0% · notional 0 · 8/28/2026, 4:52:48 PM