Market

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

SPORTS

BUY_YES

Market 11% · Fair 26% · Edge 15.1 pts

3 tracked holders · YES exposure 89616 · NO exposure 115559

3 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 2 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 26% vs market 11%, ReCh4 (195 score) NO value 115570. YES offers 134.2% expected profit per dollar risked with 788.9% max profit if correct, or 2483.3% annualized. Lead holder: ReCh4 NO value 115570 with 130220 contracts

Signal history
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:40:49 AM
Edge 15.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:39:50 AM
Edge 15.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:38:49 AM
Edge 15.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:37:49 AM
Edge 15.1 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:36:49 AM
Edge 15.3 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:35:49 AM
Edge 15.3 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:34:49 AM
Edge 15.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:33:49 AM
Edge 15.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:32:49 AM
Edge 15.4 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
6/30/2026, 6:31:49 AM
Edge 15.4 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
Allezpapa · YES · score 96
1988773 contracts · value 209816 · avg 13.6% · 6/28/2026, 4:05:42 PM
Sisyphus. · YES · score 64
1063028 contracts · value 147229 · avg 15.2% · 6/22/2026, 8:03:32 PM
ReCh4 · NO · score 96
130220 contracts · value 115570 · avg 83.1% · 6/30/2026, 6:39:49 AM
FootballFan98 · YES · score 84
902457 contracts · value 102429 · avg 16.7% · 6/28/2026, 1:11:40 AM
702757 contracts · value 79060 · avg 1.7% · 6/30/2026, 6:39:54 AM
Joe-Biden · YES · score 96
654111 contracts · value 69009 · avg 15.3% · 6/28/2026, 12:05:44 PM
ndb1 · YES · score 96
333412 contracts · value 46178 · avg 14.3% · 6/23/2026, 9:39:31 AM
340174 contracts · value 35888 · avg 1.7% · 6/28/2026, 2:47:43 PM
shijiebeifacai · YES · score 96
300000 contracts · value 31650 · avg 13.6% · 6/28/2026, 2:37:43 PM
foxy. · YES · score 96
202777 contracts · value 28085 · avg 1.7% · 6/22/2026, 2:17:32 AM
Jsram · YES · score 86
192743 contracts · value 26309 · avg 15.8% · 6/26/2026, 9:53:38 PM
DavidTrezeguet · NO · score 45
30558 contracts · value 25440 · avg 84.2% · 5/30/2026, 9:55:01 PM
neutralwave23 · YES · score 46
183633 contracts · value 25249 · avg 14.4% · 6/26/2026, 3:43:40 AM
sbimbg · YES · score 71
135000 contracts · value 22613 · avg 17.0% · 5/30/2026, 1:36:02 PM
Crystiano · YES · score 96
100000 contracts · value 13850 · avg 15.9% · 6/25/2026, 2:23:41 PM
Recent trades
cigarettes · BUY NO · score 46
832 @ 88.7% · notional 738 · 6/27/2026, 11:08:32 PM
cigarettes · BUY NO · score 46
1302 @ 88.7% · notional 1155 · 6/27/2026, 11:07:34 PM
cigarettes · BUY NO · score 46
322 @ 88.7% · notional 286 · 6/27/2026, 11:02:46 PM
cigarettes · BUY NO · score 46
33 @ 88.7% · notional 29 · 6/27/2026, 11:02:35 PM
cigarettes · BUY NO · score 46
573 @ 88.7% · notional 508 · 6/27/2026, 11:02:01 PM
cigarettes · BUY NO · score 46
78 @ 88.7% · notional 69 · 6/27/2026, 11:01:49 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
1304 @ 11.5% · notional 150 · 6/27/2026, 7:14:23 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
852 @ 11.5% · notional 98 · 6/27/2026, 7:06:35 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
135 @ 11.7% · notional 16 · 6/27/2026, 5:38:50 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
466 @ 11.7% · notional 54 · 6/27/2026, 5:37:44 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
18 @ 11.7% · notional 2 · 6/27/2026, 5:36:40 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
37 @ 11.7% · notional 4 · 6/27/2026, 5:35:37 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
19 @ 11.7% · notional 2 · 6/27/2026, 5:34:32 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
1423 @ 11.9% · notional 169 · 6/27/2026, 2:38:32 PM
alwayslatetotheparty · SELL YES · score 65
2437 @ 11.9% · notional 290 · 6/27/2026, 2:38:08 PM