Market
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
POLITICS
BUY_YES
Market 97% · Fair 99% · Edge 2.2 pts
2 tracked holders · YES exposure 1353 · NO exposure 5432
2 tracked holders, positioning favors NO, 1 YES vs 1 NO positions, fair 99% vs market 97%, ImJustKen (99 score) NO value 5487. YES offers 2.3% expected profit per dollar risked with 3.4% max profit if correct, or 6.3% annualized. Lead holder: ImJustKen NO value 5487 with 39475 contracts
Signal history
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:26:06 PM
Edge 2.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:25:05 PM
Edge 2.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:24:07 PM
Edge 2.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:23:05 PM
Edge 2.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:22:06 PM
Edge 2.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:21:06 PM
Edge 2.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:20:07 PM
Edge 2.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:18:05 PM
Edge 2.2 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:16:06 PM
Edge 12.9 pts · Confidence 100
BUY_YES
8/18/2026, 6:14:07 PM
Edge 12.9 pts · Confidence 100
Current positions
hopedieslast · YES · score 96
35264 contracts · value 29445 · avg 83.3% · 6/11/2026, 4:11:08 PM
elPolloLoco · YES · score 99
10292 contracts · value 10292 · avg 88.7% · 8/21/2026, 10:07:14 PM
CyberScore.live · NO · score 96
6747 contracts · value 887 · avg 14.5% · 8/17/2026, 1:47:01 AM
ImJustKen · NO · score 99
39475 contracts · value 0 · avg 7.0% · 8/21/2026, 9:43:03 PM
Recent trades
tsybka · SELL YES · score 99
1509 @ 99.8% · notional 1506 · 8/19/2026, 6:34:37 AM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 99
432 @ 99.9% · notional 431 · 8/19/2026, 6:09:54 AM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 99
48306 @ 99.9% · notional 48257 · 8/19/2026, 4:01:16 AM
tsybka · SELL YES · score 99
95980 @ 99.8% · notional 95788 · 8/18/2026, 6:28:10 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
50 @ 99.5% · notional 50 · 8/18/2026, 6:17:18 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
10 @ 99.5% · notional 10 · 8/18/2026, 6:17:04 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
506 @ 97.0% · notional 491 · 8/18/2026, 6:06:45 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
4053 @ 97.0% · notional 3931 · 8/18/2026, 6:06:42 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
8225 @ 94.7% · notional 7790 · 8/18/2026, 6:06:39 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
16625 @ 90.0% · notional 14962 · 8/18/2026, 6:06:34 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
31110 @ 87.0% · notional 27066 · 8/18/2026, 6:05:15 PM
tsybka · BUY YES · score 99
70000 @ 86.9% · notional 60859 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:58 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
4804 @ 13.8% · notional 663 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:58 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
232 @ 13.8% · notional 32 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:42 PM
anoin123 · BUY NO · score 99
58 @ 13.8% · notional 8 · 8/18/2026, 6:04:40 PM